Keldon Johnson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Made 3 Point Shots

San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat · Nov 12, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 11:49 PM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last year's 33.0 mark, Keldon Johnson's playing time has spiked this year to 34.0 minutes per game.
The matchup vs. Miami is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Heat are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 27th-most three attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (5.5).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA when playing on the road this year.
The Miami Heat have allowed the 9th-least offensive boards per game (10.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Keldon Johnson figures to get a boost in productivity for all stats in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 6.5 mark, Keldon Johnson's shots from behind the three-point arc have fallen this season to 4.6 per game.
Relative to last year's 2.0 rate, Keldon Johnson's personal fouls per game have surged this year to 3.0.
The Spurs rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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