Keldon Johnson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Made 3 Point Shots

San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 10, 2023

Updated Nov 11, 2023 2:13 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has averaged 31.3 minutes per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 84th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The matchup against the Timberwolves is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 29th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (5.5).
The 9th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Spurs.
Keldon Johnson will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to improve player production across the board.

Favors Under

In comparison to last year's 6.5 rate, Keldon Johnson's three-point attempts have fallen this year to 4.8 per game.
Among all players in the league, Keldon Johnson rates in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 3.1 fouls per game at home this year.
Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the San Antonio Spurs rank 8thworst in in the league while playing away from home with only 9.5 offensive boards per game this year.
On the road, the Minnesota Timberwolves have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to their opposition since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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