Keldon Johnson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/5/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Made 3 Point Shots

San Antonio Spurs vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 5, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 6:26 PM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-205/+155).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has attempted 6.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 90th percentile among all players in the league.
Keldon Johnson has tallied 33.0 minutes per game since the start of last season, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 83rd percentile.
Since the start of last season when they are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 2.1 3-pointers per game (30th-highest in the league) against the Raptors, resulting in a good matchup.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA as the road team this year.
The Spurs rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing on the road since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

With respect to three-pointers, the Spurs's feeble 35.2% rate of converted threes as the away team comes in as the 7th-weakest in the league since the start of last season.
The Raptors have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which should decrease opportunities for the Spurs.

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