Keldon Johnson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/19/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Made 3 Point Shots

San Antonio Spurs vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 19, 2023

Updated Mar 19, 2023 12:01 PM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+134/-172).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +136 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has successfully made 39.3% of his three-pointers this year, putting him in the 89th percentile among all players in the league.
Keldon Johnson has attempted 9.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games while at home, 3.9 more than he's attempted over the course of the season at home.
Keldon Johnson has been on the court for 30.1 minutes per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 78th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson has tallied 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's tallied in all games this season.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 5th-least aggressive offense in the league at home this year in terms of 3-point attempts.
The matchup vs. Atlanta is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; when the Hawks are on the road, opposing starting PFs have averaged the 14th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.2).
The Hawks have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Spurs.

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