Keldon Johnson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Made 3 Point Shots

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 15, 2023

Updated Mar 16, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has sunk 39.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, ranking in the 89th percentile out of all players in the league.
Keldon Johnson has attempted 9.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games at home, 3.9 more than he's attempted over the course of the season at home.
Keldon Johnson has played 30.1 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson has tallied 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's tallied overall this season.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA at home this year when it comes to attempts from downtown.
The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a difficult one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting PFs have compiled the 14th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (27.5%).
The Mavericks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should decrease possessions for the Spurs.

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