Keldon Johnson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2023

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Made 3 Point Shots

Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 25, 2023

Updated Feb 26, 2023 3:46 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has attempted 7.6 treys per game over the last 15 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
Keldon Johnson has been on the court for 31.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 85th percentile.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games while playing on the road.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Jazz have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (5.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson has been called for 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's been called for overall this year.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year as it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The matchup vs. the Jazz is a challenging one for 3-pointers; opposing starting SGs have averaged the 15th-least three-pointers per game in the league this year (1.7).
The Jazz have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Spurs.
Keldon Johnson will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally worsens stat production across the board.