Keldon Johnson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Made 3 Point Shots

Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 23, 2023

Updated Feb 24, 2023 1:57 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-142/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has attempted 7.6 3-pointers per game over the last 15 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted in all games this year.
Keldon Johnson has played 31.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 85th percentile.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games without the home court advantage.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson has committed 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's committed in all games this season.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The matchup against the Mavericks is a tough one for attempts from downtown; the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.1).
The Mavericks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Spurs.
Keldon Johnson will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally decreases stat production in all stat categories.

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