Keldon Johnson Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Assists

San Antonio Spurs vs Philadelphia 76ers · Apr 7, 2024

Updated Apr 7, 2024 11:12 PM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has compiled 3.2 assists per game at home this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders in this category.
Out of all players in the league, Keldon Johnson ranks in the 79th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 29.6 minutes per game this year.
The 3rd-speediest pace team in the league this year has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The Spurs rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Keldon Johnson will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to increase player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The 76ers have played at the most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 25 games away from their home city, which ought to reduce possessions for the San Antonio Spurs.

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