Keldon Johnson Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Assists

San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 15, 2024

Updated Mar 16, 2024 12:44 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-192/+147).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -185 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -192.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has averaged 3.4 assists per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 79th percentile -- among the best in the league in this category.
Keldon Johnson has played 29.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 79th percentile.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the league this year.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Keldon Johnson will likely see an increase in production in all stat categories due to possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home stadium, which ought to reduce plays for the Spurs.

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