Keldon Johnson Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Assists

Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 25, 2024

Updated Feb 25, 2024 11:07 PM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-160/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has averaged 3.0 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league in this category: 79th percentile.
Among all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson registers in the 76th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 29.0 minutes per game when playing away from home this year.
The 3rd-speediest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Spurs.
The Spurs are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 5th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Jazz).
The Spurs rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Keldon Johnson slots into the 77th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a colossal 2.3 fouls per game this year.
This year, the other team has secured 10.9 offensive rebounds per game (10th-most in the league) against the Jazz (preserving possessions that can lead to more opportunities for offense).
Keldon Johnson will likely see a decline in production for all stats in light of playing away from home in this game.

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