Keldon Johnson Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Assists

San Antonio Spurs vs Washington Wizards · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+150/-200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -190 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -200.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has tallied 3.8 assists per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric.
Keldon Johnson has tallied 30.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 81st percentile.
The 4th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Spurs.
The Wizards have played at the speediest pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased opportunities for the San Antonio Spurs.
Keldon Johnson will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to increase stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Wizards have given up the most offensive boards per game (13.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

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