Keldon Johnson Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Assists

Boston Celtics vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 17, 2024

Updated Jan 18, 2024 12:27 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has posted 3.6 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league in this category: 83rd percentile.
Keldon Johnson has played 30.7 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 81st percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs are expected to see a rise in possessions today from sharing the court with the 6th-fastest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Celtics).

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (82nd percentile).
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
On their home court, the Celtics have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.4) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Keldon Johnson will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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