Keldon Johnson Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 7, 2024

Updated Jan 7, 2024 6:25 PM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has compiled 3.4 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the league's hottest in this category over this stretch of games: 81st percentile.
Keldon Johnson has played 31.2 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 81st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The Cavaliers have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Keldon Johnson places in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 2.5 fouls per game this year.
The Spurs will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions today from facing the 7th-least up-tempo pace home team in the league this year (the Cleveland Cavaliers).
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Keldon Johnson will likely suffer a drop-off in effectiveness for all stats due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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