Keldon Johnson Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Assists

Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 3:03 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has put up a whopping 3.8 assists per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 2.9 assists per game last season.
Keldon Johnson has played 31.1 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Spurs have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have brought down 10.1 offensive boards per game (6th-lowest in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (losing possessions that could otherwise produce added chances for offense).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson places in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, tallying a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game this year.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should decrease plays for the Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Keldon Johnson will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to lower player performance for all stats.

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