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Keldon Johnson

Keldon Johnson Assists
Player Prop - 12/28/2023

Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs

Keldon Johnson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keldon Johnson has put up a terrific 3.9 assists per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 2.9 assists per game last year.

Keldon Johnson has played 31.2 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.

The Spurs have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have snagged 10.4 offensive rebounds per game (10th-fewest in the league) against the Portland Trail Blazers (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to extra chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson measures in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a colossal 2.4 fouls per game this year.

The San Antonio Spurs will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 8th-least up-tempo pace home offense in the league this year (the Trail Blazers).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, but the Spurs grade out 4thworst in in the league as the away team with a mere 9.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Keldon Johnson will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases stat production in all stat categories.

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