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Keldon Johnson

Keldon Johnson Assists
Player Prop - 11/26/2023

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs

 
 
 
Keldon Johnson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -164 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -123.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Keldon Johnson has totaled an impressive 4.4 assists per game this season, significantly higher than his 2.9 assists per game last season.
  • The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
  • The San Antonio Spurs have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Keldon Johnson has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
  • The San Antonio Spurs will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from competing against the 4th-least up-tempo pace team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).
  • Without the home court advantage, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Keldon Johnson will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to decrease player production in all facets of the game.

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