Keldon Johnson Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Assists

Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spurs · Nov 24, 2023

Updated Nov 25, 2023 3:03 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-170/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has averaged a whopping 4.4 assists per game this year, significantly more than his 2.9 assists per game last year.
The Spurs have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 15 games on their home court.

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
At home, the Warriors have allowed the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.4) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Keldon Johnson is expected to suffer a reduction in performance across the board due to playing on the visting team in this contest.

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