Keldon Johnson Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Assists

San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 17, 2023

Updated Nov 18, 2023 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has averaged a terrific 4.3 assists per game this year, a big improvement over his 2.9 assists per game last year.
Out of all players in the league, Keldon Johnson comes in at the 76th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 31.9 minutes per game while on the road this year.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the league as the road team this year.
While at home, the Kings have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.6) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Keldon Johnson figures to see a rise in effectiveness for all stats considering enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson has tallied 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 2.0 fouls per game last year.
The Spurs are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year (the Kings).
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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