Keldon Johnson Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Assists

San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat · Nov 12, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 11:49 PM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has averaged an impressive 4.1 assists per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 2.9 assists per game last season.
In comparison to last year's 33.0 mark, Keldon Johnson's playing time has spiked this year to 34.0 minutes per game.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA when playing on the road this year.
The Miami Heat have allowed the 9th-least offensive boards per game (10.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Keldon Johnson figures to get a boost in productivity for all stats in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 2.0 rate, Keldon Johnson's personal fouls per game have surged this year to 3.0.
The Spurs rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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