Keldon Johnson Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Assists

New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 9, 2023 12:38 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has totaled 3.0 assists per game playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- near the top of the league in this category.
Out of all players in the league, Keldon Johnson places in the 75th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 28.5 minutes per game when playing on the road this year.
The 6th-quickest pace home offense in the league this year has been the Spurs.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs rank 10thbest in in the league when playing away from home with 11.6 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
With the home court advantage, the Knicks have allowed the 9th-least offensive boards per game (9.9) in the league to the other team since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson measures in the 85th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a monstrous 2.8 fouls per game playing at home this year.
The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.
Keldon Johnson should see a decline in productivity in all facets of the game in light of being on the road in this matchup.

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