Keldon Johnson Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Assists

New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 4, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-156).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -156.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has averaged 2.9 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the league's hottest by this standard over this stretch of games: 76th percentile.
Keldon Johnson has been on the court for 31.9 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 84th percentile.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which can also create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Knicks have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the NBA to their opposition since the start of last season on their home court (which can also produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Spurs have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should decrease possessions for the Knicks.
Keldon Johnson will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to reduces player production across the board.

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