Keldon Johnson Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/2/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Assists

Brooklyn Nets vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 2, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has put up 3.0 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the league leaders by this metric in recent games: 77th percentile.
Keldon Johnson has tallied 32.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 84th percentile.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which also lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Nets have allowed the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the NBA to the other team this year while at home (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Spurs have played at the 10th-slowest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce possessions for the Nets.
Keldon Johnson will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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