Keldon Johnson Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2022

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Assists

San Antonio Spurs vs New York Knicks · Dec 29, 2022

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has averaged 2.9 assists per game this year at home, putting him among the best in the NBA by this metric recently: 77th percentile.
Keldon Johnson has played 33.1 minutes per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court this year (which also lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year.
The Knicks have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the NBA to their opposition since the start of last season (which also create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling when it comes to getting T'ed up.

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