Keita Bates-Diop Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2023

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Keita Bates-Diop

NBA · Player Props

Keita Bates-Diop

F · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 5, 2023

Updated Mar 6, 2023 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Keita Bates-Diop Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-142/+116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -138 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keita Bates-Diop has averaged 1.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games away from home, 0.6 higher than he's averaged in all games this year on the road.
Keita Bates-Diop has accumulated 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the least foul-whistled players in the NBA (18th percentile).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road.
The Rockets have played at the quickest pace in the NBA at home this year, which should boost plays for the Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Rockets have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Keita Bates-Diop will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to decreases stat production in all stat categories.

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