Keita Bates-Diop Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2023

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Keita Bates-Diop

NBA · Player Props

Keita Bates-Diop

F · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

LA Clippers vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 26, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Keita Bates-Diop Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keita Bates-Diop has accumulated 0.9 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the least foul-whistled players in the league (11th percentile).
The San Antonio Spurs have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (which can also provide new chances for scoring and assists).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home.
The Clippers have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (which can also produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Keita Bates-Diop has averaged a lowly 1.7 defensive rebounds per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 2.8 defensive rebounds per game last year.
The Spurs have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Clippers.
Keita Bates-Diop will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally decreases stat production for all stats.

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