Keita Bates-Diop Points - Player Prop Bet 4/8/2023

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Keita Bates-Diop

NBA · Player Props

Keita Bates-Diop

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 8, 2023

Updated Apr 8, 2023 8:11 PM EST

Analysis

Keita Bates-Diop Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keita Bates-Diop has sunk 50.1% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games, 13.8% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year.
Keita Bates-Diop has tallied 27.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 more than he's tallied in all games this year.
Keita Bates-Diop has averaged 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the least foul-prone players in the NBA (13th percentile).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should increase plays for the Spurs.

Favors Under

The matchup against Minnesota is a difficult one for scoring; when the Timberwolves are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have compiled the 13th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (44.2%).
The Timberwolves have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
As a team, the San Antonio Spurs have been lousy at getting to the free throw line: worst in the league this year, tallying a lowly 21.1 free throw attempts per game.

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