Keita Bates-Diop Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2023

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Keita Bates-Diop

NBA · Player Props

Keita Bates-Diop

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs · Apr 4, 2023

Updated Apr 4, 2023 10:36 PM EST

Analysis

Keita Bates-Diop Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keita Bates-Diop has made 62.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 11.0% higher than he's converted in all games this year.
Keita Bates-Diop has successfully made 54.6% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games, 18.8% more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year.
Keita Bates-Diop has averaged 27.5 minutes per game over the last 15 games when playing on the road, 4.8 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road.
The matchup against Phoenix is a good one for three-pointers; when the Suns are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have shot for the 25th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (36.5%).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court.
The Suns have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Spurs.
The Suns have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Keita Bates-Diop will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player performance for all stats.

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