Keita Bates-Diop Points - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2023

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Keita Bates-Diop

NBA · Player Props

Keita Bates-Diop

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Orlando Magic · Mar 14, 2023

Updated Mar 15, 2023 2:57 AM EST

Analysis

Keita Bates-Diop Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-123/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keita Bates-Diop has made 59.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 10.4% more than he's sunk overall this season.
Keita Bates-Diop has committed 1.3 personal fouls per game while at home this year, putting him in the 25th percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Magic have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 10 games on the road, which should boost opportunities for the Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc.
The matchup against the Magic is a tough one for attempts from beyond the arc; the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 12th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.6).
Away from their home court, the Magic have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.7) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Orlando may be a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 0.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Magic are the visiting team (13th-least in the NBA).

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