Keita Bates-Diop Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2023

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Keita Bates-Diop

NBA · Player Props

Keita Bates-Diop

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets · Mar 4, 2023

Updated Mar 5, 2023 12:57 AM EST

Analysis

Keita Bates-Diop Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keita Bates-Diop has successfully made 59.3% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 10.4% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year.
Keita Bates-Diop has averaged 1.3 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 25th percentile -- among the league's least-whistled.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Rockets have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to increase plays for the Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 5th-least aggressive offense in the NBA while on their home court this year as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc.
The matchup against the Rockets is a difficult one; they have given up the 13th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (14.0).
The Rockets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Rockets is a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.9 foul shots per game this year (6th-least in the NBA).

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