Keita Bates-Diop Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2023

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Keita Bates-Diop

NBA · Player Props

Keita Bates-Diop

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 23, 2023

Updated Feb 24, 2023 1:57 AM EST

Analysis

Keita Bates-Diop Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keita Bates-Diop has successfully made 59.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 10.4% more than he's put through the net in all games this year.
Keita Bates-Diop has tallied 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the least-whistled players in the league (18th percentile).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games without the home court advantage.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Keita Bates-Diop has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 24.6% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Mavericks is a hard one for scoring; the opposition's starting PFs have compiled the 15th-lowest FG% in the NBA this year (41.1%).
The Mavericks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Spurs.
As a team, the San Antonio Spurs have been poor at drawing fouls when playing on the road: worst in the NBA this year with a measly 19.1 free throws per game.
Keita Bates-Diop will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually worsens stat production across the board.

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