Keita Bates-Diop Points - Player Prop Bet 1/30/2023

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Keita Bates-Diop

NBA · Player Props

Keita Bates-Diop

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Washington Wizards · Jan 30, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Keita Bates-Diop Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keita Bates-Diop has successfully made 61.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games at home, 12.3% higher than he's converted in all games this season playing at home.
Keita Bates-Diop has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 18.5% higher than he's made overall this year with the home court advantage.
Keita Bates-Diop has accumulated 0.9 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 14th percentile -- among the NBA's least-whistled.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (which also produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

The Wizards have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games on the road (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league with the home court advantage this year.
The matchup against the Wizards is a challenging one for three-point attempts; opposing starting SFs have tallied the 3rd-least three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 15 games (3.6).
The matchup against the Wizards is a hard one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 3.0 free throws per game this year (6th-least in the NBA).

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