Keita Bates-Diop Points - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Keita Bates-Diop

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

LA Clippers vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 26, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Keita Bates-Diop Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keita Bates-Diop has made 41.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 9.6% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year.
Keita Bates-Diop has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 13.7% more than he's made over the course of the year.
Keita Bates-Diop has accumulated 0.9 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the least foul-whistled players in the league (11th percentile).
The San Antonio Spurs have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (which can also provide new chances for scoring and assists).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home.

Favors Under

The San Antonio Spurs have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when it comes to 3-point attempts.
The Spurs have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Clippers.
The matchup against the Clippers is a challenging one for three-pointers; while playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 3rd-least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (1.3).
The matchup against the Clippers is a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.3 free throws per game this year (least in the league).
Keita Bates-Diop will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally decreases stat production for all stats.