Keita Bates-Diop Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2023

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Keita Bates-Diop

NBA · Player Props

Keita Bates-Diop

F · San Antonio Spurs

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs · Apr 4, 2023

Updated Apr 4, 2023 10:36 PM EST

Analysis

Keita Bates-Diop Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-139/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keita Bates-Diop has averaged 27.5 minutes per game over the last 15 games when playing on the road, 4.8 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road.
Keita Bates-Diop has tallied 1.1 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 18th percentile -- among the league's lowest-fouling.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Suns have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Spurs.
The Suns have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Keita Bates-Diop will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player performance for all stats.

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