Keegan Murray Steals - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Steals

Sacramento Kings vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 4, 2024

Updated Mar 5, 2024 3:30 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+165/-225).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -240 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has averaged 1.3 steals per game this year at home, putting him among the best in the league by this metric over this stretch: 91st percentile.
Keegan Murray has averaged 32.9 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 88th percentile.
Keegan Murray is expected to see an increase in effectiveness for all stats considering holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year at home.
The 9th-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Sacramento Kings.

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