Keegan Murray Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/13/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Rebounds

Sacramento Kings vs Phoenix Suns · Nov 13, 2024

Updated Nov 14, 2024 2:44 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+106/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has posted 4.3 offensive rebounds per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile -- near the top of the league by this metric.
Keegan Murray has played 37.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 98th percentile.
Keegan Murray stands to see a spike in efficiency in all stat categories in light of holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray registers in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, posting an enormous 3.0 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.
The Kings have played at the 10th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA playing at home this year.
The Suns have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which should reduce plays for the Sacramento Kings.
The Kings have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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