Keegan Murray Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/11/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 11, 2024

Updated Nov 12, 2024 12:54 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has tallied 3.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's tallied in all games this season.
Keegan Murray has averaged 38.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 99th percentile.
The 6th-speediest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings.

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has averaged 3.3 personal fouls per game on the road this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Spurs have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA on their home court this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Keegan Murray stands to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all stat categories as a result of playing on the visting team in this game.

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