Keegan Murray Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/18/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Rebounds

Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 18, 2024

Updated Mar 19, 2024 2:11 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has averaged 1.6 offensive boards per game this year at home, placing him among the NBA's leaders by this standard in recent games: 86th percentile.
Keegan Murray has averaged 33.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 89th percentile.
The 8th-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
The Kings have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Keegan Murray will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to boost player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (91st percentile).
The Grizzlies have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while traveling, which should decrease possessions for the Kings.

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