Keegan Murray Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 1, 2024

Updated Mar 2, 2024 1:28 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-140/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has put up 5.0 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 more than he's put up overall this season on the road.
Keegan Murray has been on the court for 32.2 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 86th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The 10th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray comes in at the 89th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 2.7 fouls per game away from his home court this year.
The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Kings.
Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, opposing teams have nabbed 12.2 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the league) against the Timberwolves (continuing possessions that can bring about bonus opportunities for offense).
Keegan Murray will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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