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Keegan Murray

Keegan Murray Rebounds
Player Prop - 2/26/2024

Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat

Keegan Murray Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keegan Murray has averaged 5.2 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.

Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray lands in the 88th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 32.6 minutes per game this year.

The 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Kings.

This year, their opposition has come down with 9.3 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise produce added opportunities for offense).

Keegan Murray stands to see a spike in productivity in all stat categories on account of holding the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray rates in the 90th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 2.7 fouls per game this year.

The Kings are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace road offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Heat).

The Kings check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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