Keegan Murray Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/22/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Rebounds

Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 22, 2024

Updated Feb 23, 2024 3:45 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-141/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -141.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has averaged 1.6 offensive boards per game at home this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- near the top of the league in this category.
Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray comes in at the 87th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 32.5 minutes per game this year.
The Kings have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 15 games.
The Kings will likely see an increase in plays in this game from facing the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Spurs).
Keegan Murray will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally raises stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray rates in the 90th percentile for personal fouls, logging a colossal 2.7 fouls per game this year.
The Kings rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
While on the road, the Spurs have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.1) in the NBA to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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