Keegan Murray Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Rebounds

Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 25, 2024

Updated Jan 26, 2024 3:16 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-132/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has put up 5.6 rebounds per game this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this standard over this stretch of games.
Keegan Murray has been on the court for 31.3 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The 5th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to raise plays for the Kings.
The Kings rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 84th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
With the home court advantage, the Warriors have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Keegan Murray is expected to experience a decrease in output for all stats due to playing away from home in this matchup.

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