Keegan Murray Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Rebounds

Philadelphia 76ers vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 12, 2024

Updated Jan 13, 2024 12:34 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has tallied 5.6 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's tallied overall this year.
Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray comes in at the 84th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 31.6 minutes per game on the road this year.
The 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings are expected to get a boost in plays today from being pitted against the 9th-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Philadelphia 76ers).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 6thbest in in the league with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (85th percentile).
Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have secured 13.2 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Philadelphia 76ers (continuing possessions that can produce more opportunities for offense).
Keegan Murray should see a decline in performance in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this game.

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