Keegan Murray Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Rebounds

Charlotte Hornets vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 10, 2024

Updated Jan 10, 2024 11:52 PM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -260 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has put up 5.5 rebounds per game this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA in this category over this stretch of games.
Keegan Murray has played 31.6 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Kings have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the league this year.
The Kings rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Hornets have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray ranks in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 2.6 fouls per game this year.
The Hornets have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Sacramento Kings.
Keegan Murray will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally lowers player production across the board.

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