Keegan Murray Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Rebounds

Sacramento Kings vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 3:15 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-121/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has totaled 1.7 offensive boards per game this year at home, ranking him among the NBA's hottest by this metric over this stretch: 86th percentile.
Among all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray measures in the 86th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 33.0 minutes per game this year.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost plays for the Sacramento Kings.
The Kings have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, opposing teams have collected 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Toronto Raptors (minimizing possessions that could otherwise lead to added chances for offense).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray rates in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a colossal 2.8 fouls per game this year.
The Kings have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home.

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