Keegan Murray Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Rebounds

Sacramento Kings vs Orlando Magic · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 3:14 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has totaled 1.5 offensive rebounds per game this year at home, ranking him among the NBA's leaders by this metric over this stretch of games: 83rd percentile.
Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray ranks in the 85th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 32.6 minutes per game this year.
The 8th-quickest tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Kings.
The Magic have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should increase plays for the Sacramento Kings.
This year, opposing clubs have collected 9.2 offensive boards per game (lowest in the league) against the Orlando Magic (losing possessions that could otherwise result in extra opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.1 more than he's tallied over the course of the season at home.
The Sacramento Kings have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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