Keegan Murray Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Rebounds

Portland Trail Blazers vs Sacramento Kings · Dec 26, 2023

Updated Dec 27, 2023 2:52 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has tallied 1.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 0.4 more than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road.
Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray slots into the 78th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 30.9 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.
The 8th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 10th-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Trail Blazers).
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have brought down 10.3 offensive rebounds per game (7th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Trail Blazers (minimizing possessions that could otherwise generate extra opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has tallied 3.7 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Sacramento Kings grade out 5thworst in in the league with only 8.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Keegan Murray stands to experience a decrease in efficiency across the board due to playing on the visting team in this contest.

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