Keegan Murray Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Rebounds

Sacramento Kings vs Brooklyn Nets · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 3:18 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+103/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has compiled an impressive 7.1 rebounds per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 4.1 rebounds per game last year.
Keegan Murray has played 31.7 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 8 games on their home court, which should increase opportunities for the Sacramento Kings.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 7thbest in in the league while at home with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.0 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season at home.
This year, opposing squads have grabbed 11.6 offensive boards per game (10th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Brooklyn Nets (retaining possessions that can create extra chances for offense).

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