Keegan Murray Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Rebounds

Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings · Dec 8, 2023

Updated Dec 9, 2023 2:16 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has put up a terrific 1.6 offensive rebounds per game this year, significantly more than his 1.2 offensive rebounds per game last year.
Keegan Murray has averaged 30.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 76th percentile.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 8thbest in in the NBA while at home with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray ranks in the 76th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.4 fouls per game away from his home court this year.
The Kings are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this contest from facing the 3rd-most lethargic pace home offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Suns).
This year when they are at home, the other team has snagged 11.9 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Suns (saving possessions that can bring about additional opportunities for offense).
Keegan Murray will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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