Keegan Murray Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Rebounds

Los Angeles Lakers vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 15, 2023

Updated Nov 16, 2023 2:58 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has put up a whopping 2.0 offensive boards per game this season, quite a bit more than his 1.2 offensive boards per game last season.
Keegan Murray has been on the court for a terrific 34.2 minutes per game this season, significantly more than his 29.1 minutes per game last season.
The Sacramento Kings are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from competing against the 9th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 8thbest in in the league while playing at home with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has committed 0.0 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (77th percentile).
The slowest pace home team in the league this year has been the Kings.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have snagged 11.6 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the NBA) against the Lakers (saving possessions that can result in added opportunities for offense).
Keegan Murray ought to suffer a reduction in production for all stats due to playing away from hom in this game.

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