Keegan Murray Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/28/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Rebounds

Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings · Apr 28, 2023

Updated Apr 29, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-140/+114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has averaged 5.0 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.1 more than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road.
Keegan Murray has been on the court for 28.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 75th percentile.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Warriors have played at the speediest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to raise possessions for the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 0.9 more than he's committed over the course of the season on the road.
The Warriors have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Keegan Murray will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens player performance in all stat categories.

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